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Heritage Science
Fig. 3 | Heritage Science

Fig. 3

From: Modelling medieval masonry construction: taxa-specific and habitat-contingent Bayesian techniques for the interpretation of radiocarbon data from Mortar-Entrapped Relict Limekiln Fuels

Fig. 3

Selected multiple plots from TS1, illustrating exponentially distributed simulated datasets with specified IAτ of 10 years and 500 years. Subfigure a presents distribution plots from a dataset specified with 10 years IAτ (M1a run 2) with simulated dates ranging from 1040–1220 cal AD (M3a) to 1220–1380 cal AD (M4a) at 95% confidence, nineteen of which include the true event date of 1250 AD at 95% confidence. Subfigure b presents distribution plots from a dataset specified with 500 years IAτ (M1e run 1), with simulated dates ranging from 2270 to 1980 cal BC (M14e) to 1160–1280 cal AD (M12e) at 95% confidence, two of which include the 1250 AD true event date at 95% confidence. Small circles represent the mean average of each distribution

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