Table 12 Last and End Boundary HPD intervals in TS2
Dataset and model specifications | Last HPD intervals and medians/cal AD | End Boundary HPD intervals and medians/cal AD | Agreement Indices | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10yrs IAτ /15 dates (MR1a) | Run | 68% | 95% | median | 68% | 95% | median | Amodel | Aoverall | Ai < 60% |
Exponential prior; no Outlier Model | 1 | 1240–1270 | 1230–1280 | 1255 | 1240–1275 | 1225–1280 | 1255 | 104.1 | 97.8 | 0 |
2 | 1240–1275 | 1230–1280 | 1255 | 1240–1275 | 1225–1280 | 1255 | 72.3 | 68.7 | 3 | |
3 | 1240–1270 | 1225–1275 | 1255 | 1240–1270 | 1225–1275 | 1255 | 95.9 | 99.1 | 2 | |
Exponential prior; 10-year Charcoal Outlier Model | 1 | 1245–1275 | 1230–1280 | 1260 | 1245–1275 | 1230–1285 | 1260 | 104.5 | 99.5 | 0 |
2 | 1245–1275 | 1230–1285 | 1260 | 1245–1280 | 1230–1285 | 1260 | 76.3 | 73.1 | 3 | |
3 | 1245–1270 | 1230–1280 | 1255 | 1245–1275 | 1230–1280 | 1260 | 98.1 | 101.5 | 2 | |
Uniform prior; default Charcoal Outlier Model | 1 | 1245–1280 | 1230–1290 | 1260 | 1245–1280 | 1230–1295 | 1265 | 96.8 | 89.9 | 1 |
2 | 1250–1285 | 1230–1295 | 1265 | 1250–1285 | 1230–1300 | 1270 | 85.5 | 80 | 3 | |
3 | 1245–1275 | 1230–1285 | 1260 | 1245–1280 | 1230–1290 | 1260 | 100.1 | 104.2 | 2 | |
10yrs IAτ /10 dates (MRR1a) | Run | 68% | 95% | median | 68% | 95% | median | Amodel | Aoverall | Ai < 60% |
Exponential prior; no Outlier Model | 1 | 1235–1270 | 1220–1275 | 1250 | 1235–1275 | 1220–1280 | 1255 | 101.8 | 100.6 | 0 |
2 | 1240–1275 | 1230–1280 | 1255 | 1240–1275 | 1230–1280 | 1260 | 129.8 | 130.7 | 0 | |
3 | 1240–1270 | 1225–1280 | 1255 | 1240–1275 | 1225–1285 | 1255 | 92.8 | 93 | 0 | |
Exponential prior; 10-year Charcoal Outlier Model | 1 | 1240–1275 | 1225–1280 | 1255 | 1240–1275 | 1225–1285 | 1255 | 102.8 | 101.9 | 0 |
2 | 1245–1275 | 1230–1280 | 1260 | 1245–1280 | 1230–1285 | 1260 | 128.7 | 129.4 | 0 | |
3 | 1245–1275 | 1230–1285 | 1260 | 1245–1280 | 1230–1285 | 1260 | 94.9 | 95.3 | 0 | |
Uniform prior; default Charcoal Outlier Model | 1 | 1240–1280 | 1225–1290 | 1260 | 1240–1285 | 1225–1305 | 1265 | 103.2 | 101.9 | 0 |
2 | 1245–1280 | 1230–1285 | 1265 | 1245–1280 | 1230–1295 | 1265 | 129.3 | 129.9 | 0 | |
3 | 1245–1280 | 1230–1290 | 1260 | 1245–1285 | 1230–1300 | 1265 | 91.7 | 92.2 | 1 | |
10yrs IAτ /5 dates (MRRR1a) | Run | 68% | 95% | median | 68% | 95% | median | Amodel | Aoverall | Ai < 60% |
Exponential prior; no Outlier Model | 1 | 1235–1275 | 1220–1280 | 1255 | 1235–1285 | 1220–1315 | 1260 | 95.5 | 95 | 0 |
2 | 1235–1275 | 1220–1285 | 1255 | 1235–1285 | 1220–1320 | 1260 | 93.8 | 94.6 | 0 | |
3 | 1220–1260 | 1185–1280 | 1240 | 1220–1275 | 1180–1325 | 1250 | 104.1 | 104 | 0 | |
Exponential prior; 10-year Charcoal Outlier Model | 1 | 1240–1280 | 1225–1285 | 1260 | 1240–1285 | 1220–1320 | 1265 | 96.5 | 96.2 | 0 |
2 | 1240–1280 | 1225–1290 | 1260 | 1240–1285 | 1220–1325 | 1265 | 95 | 95.8 | 0 | |
3 | 1220–1265 | 1190–1285 | 1245 | 1225–1280 | 1180–1330 | 1255 | 104.6 | 104.6 | 0 | |
Uniform prior; default Charcoal Outlier Model | 1 | 1240–1285 | 1220–1310 | 1265 | 1235–1295 | 1220–1355 | 1275 | 97 | 96.3 | 0 |
2 | 1240–1285 | 1220–1315 | 1265 | 1240–1300 | 1220–1365 | 1275 | 97.3 | 97.7 | 0 | |
3 | 1225–1275 | 1185–1315 | 1250 | 1225–1300 | 1185–1385 | 1270 | 109.4 | 108.7 | 0 | |
Dataset and model specifications | Last HPD intervals and medians/ cal AD | End Boundary HPD intervals and medians/cal AD | Agreement indices | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
50yrs IAτ /15 dates (MR1b) | Run | 68% | 95% | median | 68% | 95% | median | Amodel | Aoverall | Ai < 60% |
Exponential prior; no Outlier Model | 1 | 1230–1265 | 1220–1275 | 1250 | 1235–1270 | 1225–1285 | 1255 | 104.5 | 104.2 | 0 |
2 | 1250–1280 | 1235–1285 | 1270 | 1255–1285 | 1235–1295 | 1270 | 100.8 | 99.4 | 0 | |
3 | 1235–1285 | 1230–1285 | 1265 | 1240–1290 | 1230–1300 | 1270 | 90.9 | 85.2 | 0 | |
Exponential prior; 50-year Charcoal Outlier Model | 1 | 1240–1275 | 1225–1290 | 1255 | 1240–1280 | 1225–1295 | 1260 | 103.9 | 103.4 | 0 |
2 | 1255–1285 | 1240–1300 | 1270 | 1260–1295 | 1240–1310 | 1275 | 99.8 | 99.7 | 0 | |
3 | 1245–1290 | 1230–1305 | 1270 | 1250–1295 | 1235–1310 | 1275 | 90.9 | 85.9 | 0 | |
Uniform prior; default Charcoal Outlier Model | 1 | 1245–1285 | 1230–1310 | 1265 | 1250–1295 | 1230–1330 | 1275 | 99.6 | 99.1 | 0 |
2 | 1260–1295 | 1245–1325 | 1280 | 1265–1310 | 1245–1350 | 1290 | 98.7 | 97.9 | 0 | |
3 | 1260–1300 | 1235–1320 | 1280 | 1265–1310 | 1240–1340 | 1285 | 95.2 | 91.4 | 0 | |
50yrs IAτ /10 dates (MRR1b) | Run | 68% | 95% | median | 68% | 95% | median | Amodel | Aoverall | Ai < 60% |
Exponential prior; no Outlier Model | 1 | 1240–1270 | 1225–1275 | 1255 | 1245–1275 | 1225–1285 | 1260 | 121.1 | 121.3 | 0 |
2 | 1260–1285 | 1235–1290 | 1270 | 1260–1290 | 1235–1300 | 1275 | 98.6 | 92.7 | 0 | |
3 | 1245–1275 | 1230–1280 | 1260 | 1250–1285 | 1230–1305 | 1265 | 92.7 | 92.1 | 0 | |
Exponential prior; 50-year Charcoal Outlier Model | 1 | 1245–1275 | 1225–1285 | 1260 | 1245–1280 | 1225–1295 | 1265 | 118.9 | 118.9 | 0 |
2 | 1260–1295 | 1235–1305 | 1275 | 1260–1300 | 1240–1315 | 1280 | 96.8 | 92.3 | 0 | |
3 | 1250–1280 | 1235–1295 | 1265 | 1250–1290 | 1235–1315 | 1275 | 91.5 | 90.8 | 0 | |
Uniform prior; default Charcoal Outlier Model | 1 | 1245–1285 | 1225–1305 | 1265 | 1245–1290 | 1225–1320 | 1270 | 108.6 | 108.7 | 0 |
2 | 1260–1300 | 1235–1320 | 1280 | 1260–1310 | 1235–1340 | 1285 | 85.1 | 80.4 | 1 | |
3 | 1250–1295 | 1235–1340 | 1275 | 1255–1315 | 1240–1380 | 1290 | 81.6 | 79.1 | 0 | |
50yrs IAτ /5 dates (MRRR1b) | Run | 68% | 95% | median | 68% | 95% | median | Amodel | Aoverall | Ai < 60% |
Exponential prior; no Outlier Model | 1 | 1235–1280 | 1225–1290 | 1260 | 1240–1305 | 1225–1395 | 1280 | 96.5 | 96.5 | 0 |
2 | 1225–1270 | 1215–1285 | 1245 | 1225–1285 | 1205–1350 | 1260 | 103.2 | 102.8 | 0 | |
3 | 1225–1270 | 1190–1280 | 1245 | 1225–1285 | 1180–1345 | 1260 | 100.9 | 98.3 | 0 | |
Exponential prior; 50-year Charcoal Outlier Model | 1 | 1245–1290 | 1225–1315 | 1270 | 1245–1320 | 1225–1410 | 1290 | 97 | 97.1 | 0 |
2 | 1230–1280 | 1215–1305 | 1255 | 1230–1295 | 1215–1365 | 1270 | 105 | 104.9 | 0 | |
3 | 1230–1275 | 1200–1305 | 1255 | 1230–1295 | 1185–1360 | 1265 | 100.8 | 99.1 | 0 | |
Uniform Prior/default Charcoal Outlier Model | 1 | 1240–1305 | 1225–1395 | 1280 | 1250–1360 | 1225–1535 | 1315 | 94.6 | 94.9 | 0 |
2 | 1230–1280 | 1215–1325 | 1260 | 1230–1305 | 1210–1400 | 1275 | 110 | 108.9 | 0 | |
3 | 1225–1280 | 1185–1340 | 1260 | 1225–1320 | 1185–1435 | 1280 | 92.4 | 91.3 | 0 | |
Dataset and model specifications | Last HPD intervals and medians/ cal AD | End Boundary HPD intervals and medians/cal AD | Agreement Indices | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
100yrs IAτ /15 dates (MR1c) | Run | 68% | 95% | median | 68% | 95% | median | Amodel | Aoverall | Ai < 60% |
Exponential Prior/no Outlier Model | 1 | 1245–1265 | 1230–1280 | 1260 | 1245–1280 | 1230–1290 | 1265 | 100.4 | 99.9 | 0 |
2 | 1225–1260 | 1215–1280 | 1245 | 1230–1275 | 1220–1305 | 1255 | 102.6 | 103.2 | 0 | |
3 | 1180–1225 | 1165–1240 | 1200 | 1180–1225 | 1165–1245 | 1205 | 85.7 | 85.4 | 1 | |
Exponential Prior/100-year Charcoal Outlier Model | 1 | 1250–1285 | 1235–1295 | 1265 | 1250–1290 | 1235–1305 | 1270 | 99.8 | 99.4 | 0 |
2 | 1230–1280 | 1220–1310 | 1255 | 1240–1290 | 1225–1330 | 1270 | 102.9 | 103.3 | 0 | |
3 | 1185–1235 | 1170–1260 | 1215 | 1190–1240 | 1170–1265 | 1215 | 91.5 | 91.3 | 1 | |
Uniform Prior/default Charcoal Outlier Model | 1 | 1255–1290 | 1235–1315 | 1275 | 1260–1300 | 1240–1335 | 1280 | 99.7 | 99 | 0 |
2 | 1245–1325 | 1225–1400 | 1290 | 1255–1345 | 1235–1435 | 1310 | 100.2 | 100.2 | 0 | |
3 | 1195–1250 | 1175–1280 | 1225 | 1200–1260 | 1175–1295 | 1235 | 99.1 | 99.2 | 1 | |
100yrs IAτ /10 dates (MRR1c) | Run | 68% | 95% | median | 68% | 95% | median | Amodel | Aoverall | Ai < 60% |
Exponential Prior/no Outlier Model | 1 | 1220–1260 | 1195–1280 | 1240 | 1225–1280 | 1190–1315 | 1255 | 101.4 | 100.3 | 0 |
2 | 1205–1250 | 1180–1270 | 1225 | 1210–1265 | 1180–1290 | 1235 | 94.6 | 96.5 | 0 | |
3 | 1225–1265 | 1215–1280 | 1245 | 1230–1270 | 1210–1300 | 1250 | 100.6 | 98.3 | 0 | |
Exponential Prior/100-year Charcoal Outlier Model | 1 | 1225–1275 | 1200–1310 | 1250 | 1230–1295 | 1205–1340 | 1265 | 101.8 | 100.9 | 0 |
2 | 1215–1270 | 1185–1295 | 1240 | 1220–1280 | 1190–1315 | 1250 | 97.4 | 98.8 | 0 | |
3 | 1230–1275 | 1215–1300 | 1255 | 1235–1280 | 1215–1315 | 1260 | 99.9 | 98.1 | 0 | |
Uniform Prior/default Charcoal Outlier Model | 1 | 1230–1295 | 1210–1370 | 1270 | 1240–1330 | 1215–1425 | 1290 | 102.1 | 101.6 | 0 |
2 | 1225–1290 | 1195–1345 | 1260 | 1230–1310 | 1195–1385 | 1275 | 99.6 | 100.3 | 0 | |
3 | 1235–1285 | 1215–1330 | 1265 | 1240–1300 | 1215–1365 | 1275 | 84.4 | 84.1 | 1 | |
100yrs IAτ /5 dates (MRRR1c) | Run | 68% | 95% | median | 68% | 95% | median | Amodel | Aoverall | Ai < 60% |
Exponential Prior/no Outlier Model | 1 | 1180–1235 | 1170–1265 | 1215 | 1185–1260 | 1165–1320 | 1225 | 86.6 | 86.4 | 0 |
2 | 1185–1260 | 1175–1270 | 1220 | 1190–1265 | 1170–1315 | 1230 | 97.9 | 98.2 | 0 | |
3 | 1230–1295 | 1220–1305 | 1275 | 1240–1360 | 1225–1550 | 1310 | 100.1 | 100.4 | 0 | |
Exponential Prior/100-year Charcoal Outlier Model | 1 | 1195–1260 | 1170–1295 | 1225 | 1190–1275 | 1165–1350 | 1240 | 90.6 | 90.8 | 0 |
2 | 1205–1270 | 1175–1295 | 1235 | 1205–1285 | 1175–1340 | 1245 | 99.9 | 100.2 | 0 | |
3 | 1235–1310 | 1220–1385 | 1285 | 1255–1385 | 1230–1570 | 1330 | 100.6 | 100.9 | 0 | |
Uniform Prior/default Charcoal Outlier Model | 1 | 1190–1260 | 1165–1310 | 1225 | 1190–1285 | 1165–1400 | 1245 | 87.8 | 87.3 | 0 |
2 | 1200–1270 | 1170–1315 | 1235 | 1195–1290 | 1170–1405 | 1255 | 93.1 | 94.6 | 0 | |
3 | 1250–1380 | 1220–1520 | 1305 | 1270–1485 | 1235–1855 | 1390 | 99.5 | 99.6 | 0 | |
Dataset and model specifications | Last HPD intervals and medians/ cal AD | End Boundary HPD intervals and medians/cal AD | Agreement indices | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
200yrs IAτ /15 dates (MR1d) | Run | 68% | 95% | median | 68% | 95% | median | Amodel | Aoverall | Ai < 60% |
Exponential Prior/no Outlier Model | 1 | 1070–1220 | 1060–1230 | 1175 | 1075–1235 | 1065–1250 | 1185 | 76.2 | 76.3 | 1 |
2 | 1220–1260 | 1215–1280 | 1245 | 1225–1275 | 1220–1300 | 1255 | 100.3 | 102.9 | 1 | |
3 | 1215–1260 | 1190–1275 | 1235 | 1220–1280 | 1185–1315 | 1250 | 98.6 | 99.3 | 0 | |
Exponential Prior/200-year Charcoal Outlier Model | 1 | 1095–1255 | 1070–1270 | 1195 | 1090–1265 | 1070–1285 | 1205 | 80.3 | 80.1 | 1 |
2 | 1230–1280 | 1220–1310 | 1255 | 1235–1290 | 1225–1325 | 1265 | 103.1 | 105.3 | 0 | |
3 | 1220–1270 | 1190–1300 | 1245 | 1225–1290 | 1200–1340 | 1260 | 99.8 | 100.2 | 0 | |
Uniform Prior/default Charcoal Outlier Model | 1 | 1175–1255 | 1115–1305 | 1215 | 1185–1280 | 1110–1340 | 1235 | 84.5 | 83.1 | 0 |
2 | 1245–1315 | 1230–1370 | 1285 | 1245–1320 | 1230–1385 | 1290 | 108.3 | 109.8 | 0 | |
3 | 1245–1360 | 1215–1490 | 1310 | 1245–1385 | 1215–1545 | 1325 | 100.7 | 100.8 | 0 | |
200yrs IAτ /10 dates (MRR1d) | Run | 68% | 95% | median | 68% | 95% | median | Amodel | Aoverall | Ai < 60% |
Exponential Prior/no Outlier Model | 1 | 1075–1220 | 1070–1220 | 1165 | 1075–1225 | 1065–1235 | 1175 | 92 | 90.4 | 0 |
2 | 1220–1260 | 1195–1275 | 1240 | 1220–1280 | 1190–1320 | 1255 | 98.8 | 97.9 | 0 | |
3 | 1220–1265 | 1200–1280 | 1240 | 1225–1290 | 1190–1355 | 1265 | 99.6 | 98.7 | 0 | |
Exponential Prior/200-year Charcoal Outlier Model | 1 | 1135–1230 | 1070–1245 | 1180 | 1135–1240 | 1070–1260 | 1185 | 93.8 | 92.4 | 0 |
2 | 1220–1275 | 1195–1325 | 1255 | 1230–1300 | 1205–1350 | 1270 | 99.2 | 98.6 | 0 | |
3 | 1225–1280 | 1195–1330 | 1255 | 1235–1310 | 1205–1385 | 1275 | 99.4 | 98.8 | 0 | |
Uniform Prior/default Charcoal Outlier Model | 1 | 1145–1245 | 1075–1275 | 1195 | 1150–1270 | 1075–1310 | 1205 | 92.4 | 91.2 | 0 |
2 | 1235–1315 | 1205–1395 | 1275 | 1245–1340 | 1210–1445 | 1295 | 97.8 | 97.4 | 0 | |
3 | 1225–1285 | 1205–1360 | 1260 | 1245–1365 | 1215–1520 | 1315 | 99.5 | 99.3 | 0 | |
200yrs IAτ /5 dates (MRRR1d) | Run | 68% | 95% | median | 68% | 95% | median | Amodel | Aoverall | Ai < 60% |
Exponential Prior/no Outlier Model | 1 | 1175–1255 | 1160–1270 | 1210 | 1185–1335 | 1125–1605 | 1270 | 99.6 | 99.3 | 0 |
2 | 1220–1275 | 1200–1285 | 1245 | 1225–1330 | 1190–1525 | 1290 | 96.2 | 96.4 | 0 | |
3 | 990–1095 | 990–1150 | 1035 | 1000–1135 | 990–1325 | 1080 | 98.9 | 99 | 0 | |
Exponential Prior/200-year Charcoal Outlier Model | 1 | 1180–1270 | 1155–1400 | 1235 | 1200–1370 | 1160–1650 | 1300 | 99.7 | 99.5 | 0 |
2 | 1225–1290 | 1200–1395 | 1265 | 1235–1370 | 1205–1560 | 1310 | 97.2 | 97.3 | 0 | |
3 | 995–1115 | 990–1200 | 1060 | 1015–1175 | 995–1345 | 1105 | 99.6 | 99.7 | 0 | |
Uniform Prior/default Charcoal Outlier Model | 1 | 1180–1335 | 1155–1620 | 1245 | 1210–1520 | 1165–2050 | 1385 | 99 | 98.8 | 0 |
2 | 1225–1320 | 1210–1455 | 1285 | 1245–1425 | 1210–1740 | 1345 | 96.8 | 96.9 | 0 | |
3 | 1020–1150 | 990–1265 | 1085 | 1030–1230 | 995–1545 | 1155 | 98.4 | 98.5 | 0 | |
Dataset and model specifications | Last HPD intervals and medians/ cal AD | End Boundary HPD intervals and medians/cal AD | Agreement indices | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
500yrs IAτ /15 dates (MR1e) | Run | 68% | 95% | median | 68% | 95% | median | Amodel | Aoverall | Ai < 60% |
Exponential Prior/no Outlier Model | 1 | 1155–1220 | 1070–1235 | 1180 | 1160–1260 | 1080–1315 | 1205 | 95.6 | 96.1 | 0 |
2 | 1220–1280 | 1180–1290 | 1245 | 1230–1325 | 1210–1445 | 1285 | 97.6 | 97.7 | 0 | |
3 | 1180–1245 | 1165–1270 | 1250 | 1195–1285 | 1170–1370 | 1250 | 97.3 | 97.2 | 0 | |
Exponential Prior/500-year Charcoal Outlier Model | 1 | 1155–1240 | 1085–1285 | 1195 | 1170–1280 | 1100–1355 | 1225 | 96.3 | 96.8 | 0 |
2 | 1225–1305 | 1205–1435 | 1275 | 1240–1375 | 1220–1510 | 1320 | 98.5 | 98.5 | 0 | |
3 | 1190–1270 | 1160–1340 | 1235 | 1205–1315 | 1175–1420 | 1270 | 97.7 | 97.7 | 0 | |
Uniform Prior/default Charcoal Outlier Model | 1 | 1190–1375 | 1130–1560 | 1295 | 1210–1440 | 1125–1655 | 1335 | 97.6 | 97.7 | 0 |
2 | 1225–1460 | 1215–1730 | 1365 | 1280–1610 | 1235–1955 | 1475 | 99.2 | 99.1 | 0 | |
3 | 1195–1290 | 1170–1430 | 1255 | 1230–1500 | 1185–1815 | 1385 | 98.1 | 98.1 | 0 | |
500yrs IAτ /10 dates (MRR1e) | Run | 68% | 95% | median | 68% | 95% | median | Amodel | Aoverall | Ai < 60% |
Exponential Prior/no Outlier Model | 1 | 1075–1180 | 1060–1215 | 1135 | 1105–1230 | 1060–1330 | 1175 | 105 | 104.8 | 0 |
2 | 1175–1255 | 1165–1265 | 1215 | 1195–1300 | 1165–1435 | 1255 | 101.8 | 101.6 | 0 | |
3 | 1170–1230 | 1130–1275 | 1205 | 1185–1295 | 1095–1430 | 1245 | 100 | 99.2 | 0 | |
Exponential Prior/500-year Charcoal Outlier Model | 1 | 1100–1210 | 1055–1275 | 1160 | 1115–1265 | 1070–1385 | 1200 | 104.5 | 104.3 | 0 |
2 | 1190–1265 | 1165–1330 | 1230 | 1205–1330 | 1170–1470 | 1275 | 101.6 | 101.4 | 0 | |
3 | 1175–1270 | 1075–1420 | 1230 | 1195–1345 | 1145–1515 | 1275 | 99.6 | 99 | 0 | |
Uniform Prior/default Charcoal Outlier Model | 1 | 1120–1230 | 1065–1370 | 1180 | 1150–1500 | 1090–1980 | 1350 | 101.4 | 101.4 | 0 |
2 | 1180–1295 | 1160–1525 | 1250 | 1215–1490 | 1180–1870 | 1375 | 99.1 | 99.1 | 0 | |
3 | 1180–1285 | 1160–1405 | 1245 | 1215–1440 | 1170–1735 | 1350 | 99.8 | 99.6 | 0 | |
500yrs IAτ /5 dates (MRRR1e) | Run | 68% | 95% | median | 68% | 95% | median | Amodel | Aoverall | Ai < 60% |
Exponential Prior/no Outlier Model | 1 | 1050–1225 | 1040–1265 | 1180 | 1075–1495 | 1050–2100 | 1325 | 97.1 | 97.1 | 0 |
2 | 1155–1220 | 1060–1230 | 1180 | 1150–1455 | 1065–1985 | 1305 | 98.5 | 98.4 | 0 | |
3 | 1080–1155 | 1030–1170 | 1115 | 1080–1280 | 1035–1605 | 1190 | 100.3 | 100.2 | 0 | |
Exponential Prior/500-year Charcoal Outlier Model | 1 | 1055–1260 | 1045–1370 | 1200 | 1140–1555 | 1055–2115 | 1365 | 97.4 | 97.4 | 0 |
2 | 1135–1260 | 1055–1430 | 1205 | 1165–1515 | 1080–2050 | 1355 | 98.7 | 98.6 | 0 | |
3 | 1075–1190 | 1030–1325 | 1140 | 1100–1330 | 1045–1660 | 1230 | 100.1 | 100.1 | 0 | |
Uniform Prior/default Charcoal Outlier Model | 1 | 1055–1285 | 1040–1505 | 1210 | 1160–1790 | 1070–3010 | 1505 | 97.6 | 97.6 | 0 |
2 | 1130–1345 | 1060–1650 | 1230 | 1180–1805 | 1125–2990 | 1535 | 98.5 | 98.5 | 0 | |
3 | 1075–1220 | 1030–1420 | 1155 | 1110–1465 | 1050–2025 | 1310 | 99.8 | 99.8 | 0 | |