Dataset specification | Last HPD interval accuracy | End Boundary HPD interval accuracy | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Exp. prior/ no outlier model | Exp. prior/ modified Charcoal | Uniform prior/ default Charcoal | Dataset size subtotals | Exp. prior/ no outlier model | Exp. prior/ modified Charcoal | Uniform prior/ default Charcoal | Dataset size subtotals | |||
10Â years IAÏ„ | 68% (95%) | 68% (95%) | 68% (95%) | 68% | 95% | 68% (95%) | 68% (95%) | 68% (95%) | 68% | 95% |
15 dates | 3/3 (3/3) | 3/3 (3/3) | 3/3 (3/3) | 9/9 | 9/9 | 3/3 (3/3) | 3/3 (3/3) | 3/3 (3/3) | 9/9 | 9/9 |
10 dates | 3/3 (3/3) | 3/3 (3/3) | 3/3 (3/3) | 9/9 | 9/9 | 3/3 (3/3) | 3/3 (3/3) | 3/3 (3/3) | 9/9 | 9/9 |
5 dates | 3/3 (3/3) | 3/3 (3/3) | 3/3 (3/3) | 9/9 | 9/9 | 3/3 (3/3) | 3/3 (3/3) | 3/3 (3/3) | 9/9 | 9/9 |
subtotals | 9/9 (9/9) | 9/9 (9/9) | 9/9 (9/9) | 100% | 100% | 9/9 (9/9) | 9/9 (9/9) | 9/9 (9/9) | 100% | 100% |
50Â years IAÏ„ | 68% (95%) | 68% (95%) | 68% (95%) | 68% | 95% | 68% (95%) | 68% (95%) | 68% (95%) | 68% | 95% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 dates | 3/3 (3/3) | 2/3 (3/3) | 2/3 (3/3) | 7/9 | 9/9 | 2/3 (3/3) | 2/3 (3/3) | 1/3 (3/3) | 5/9 | 9/9 |
10 dates | 2/3 (3/3) | 2/3 (3/3) | 2/3 (3/3) | 6/9 | 9/9 | 2/3 (3/3) | 2/3 (3/3) | 1/3 (3/3) | 5/9 | 9/9 |
5 dates | 3/3 (3/3) | 3/3 (3/3) | 3/3 (3/3) | 9/9 | 9/9 | 3/3 (3/3) | 3/3 (3/3) | 3/3 (3/3) | 9/9 | 9/9 |
subtotals | 8/9 (9/9) | 7/9 (9/9) | 7/9 (9/9) | 81% | 100% | 7/9 (9/9) | 7/9 (9/9) | 5/9 (9/9) | 70% | 100% |
100Â years IAÏ„ | 68% (95%) | 68% (95%) | 68% (95%) | 68% | 95% | 68% (95%) | 68% (95%) | 68% (95%) | 68% | 95% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 dates | 2/3 (2/3) | 2/3 (3/3) | 3/3 (3/3) | 7/9 | 9/9 | 2/3 (2/3) | 2/3 (3/3) | 1/3 (3/3) | 5/9 | 8/9 |
10 dates | 3/3 (3/3) | 3/3 (3/3) | 3/3 (3/3) | 9/9 | 9/9 | 3/3 (3/3) | 3/3 (3/3) | 3/3 (3/3) | 9/9 | 9/9 |
5 dates | 2/3 (3/3) | 3/3 (3/3) | 3/3 (3/3) | 8/9 | 9/9 | 3/3 (3/3) | 2/3 (3/3) | 2/3 (3/3) | 7/9 | 9/9 |
subtotals | 7/9 (8/9) | 8/9 (9/9) | 9/9 (9/9) | 89% | 100% | 8/9 (8/9) | 7/9 (9/9) | 6/9 (9/9) | 78% | 96% |
200Â years IAÏ„ | 68% (95%) | 68% (95%) | 68% (95%) | 68% | 95% | 68% (95%) | 68% (95%) | 68% (95%) | 68% | 95% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 dates | 2/3 (2/3) | 3/3 (3/3) | 3/3 (3/3) | 8/9 | 8/9 | 2/3 (3/3) | 3/3 (3/3) | 3/3 (3/3) | 8/9 | 9/9 |
10 dates | 2/3 (2/3) | 2/3 (2/3) | 2/3 (3/3) | 6/9 | 7/9 | 2/3 (2/3) | 2/3 (3/3) | 3/3 (3/3) | 7/9 | 8/9 |
5 dates | 2/3 (2/3) | 2/3 (2/3) | 2/3 (3/3) | 6/9 | 7/9 | 2/3 (3/3) | 2/3 (3/3) | 2/3 (3/3) | 6/9 | 9/9 |
subtotals | 6/9 (6/9) | 7/9 (7/9) | 7/9 (9/9) | 75% | 81% | 6/9 (8/9) | 7/9 (9/9) | 8/9 (9/9) | 78% | 96% |
500Â years IAÏ„ | 68% (95%) | 68% (95%) | 68% (95%) | 68% | 95% | 68% (95%) | 68% (95%) | 68% (95%) | 68% | 95% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 dates | 2/3 (2/3) | 2/3 (3/3) | 3/3 (3/3) | 7/9 | 9/9 | 3/3 (3/3) | 3/3 (3/3) | 2/3 (3/3) | 8/9 | 9/9 |
10 dates | 1/3 (2/3) | 2/3 (3/3) | 2/3 (3/3) | 5/9 | 9/9 | 2/3 (3/3) | 3/3 (3/3) | 3/3 (3/3) | 8/9 | 9/9 |
5 dates | 0/3 (1/3) | 2/3 (3/3) | 2/3 (3/3) | 4/9 | 7/9 | 3/3 (3/3) | 3/3 (3/3) | 3/3 (3/3) | 9/9 | 9/9 |
subtotals | 3/9 (5/9) | 6/9 (9/9) | 7/9 (9/9) | 59% | 93% | 8/9 (9/9) | 9/9 (9/9) | 8/9 (9/9) | 93% | 100% |
All Datasets | 68% (95%) | 68% (95%) | 68% (95%) | 68% | 95% | 68% (95%) | 68% (95%) | 68% (95%) | 68% | 95% |
Total | 73% (82%) | 82% (96%) | 87% (100%) | 81% | 95% | 84% (96%) | 87% (100%) | 80% (100%) | 84% | 99% |
All Datasets | 68% (95%) | 68% (95%) | 68% (95%) | 68% | 95% | 68% (95%) | 68% (95%) | 68% (95%) | 68% | 95% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total | 73% (82%) | 82% (96%) | 87% (100%) | 81% | 95% | 84% (96%) | 87% (100%) | 80% (100%) | 84% | 99% |