Table 21 Last and End Boundary distributions generated by different Bayesian models from the 5 date Castle Roy MERLF radiocarbon dataset, with TPQ and TAQ probabilities
Model specification | Last HPD intervals/ cal AD | End Boundary HPD intervals/cal AD | Agreement indices | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Castle Roy | 68% | 95% | Median | After TPQ | Before TAQ | 68% | 95% | Median | After TPQ | Before TAQ | Amodel | Aoverall | Ai |
Exponential prior; no Outlier | 1155–1220 | 1050–1225 | 1175 | 74% | 99% | 1070–1235 | 1050–1270 | 1185 | 77% | 85% | 73.2 | 71.9 | 0 |
Exponential prior; modified Charcoal | 1155–1230 | 1060–1255 | 1185 | 80% | 89% | 1155–1255 | 1055–1300 | 1200 | 82% | 73% | 75.5 | 74.6 | 0 |
Exponential prior; default Charcoal | 1155–1235 | 1055–1270 | 1190 | 81% | 86% | 1155–1260 | 1055–1320 | 1200 | 83% | 71% | 75.4 | 74.8 | 0 |
Uniform prior; default Charcoal | 1080–1240 | 1055–1280 | 1190 | 80% | 84% | 1080–1290 | 1055–1415 | 1215 | 84% | 58% | 74 | 73.3 | 0 |