Table 38 Last and End Boundary distributions generated by different Bayesian models from the (reduced) 4 date Lochindorb Castle MERLF radiocarbon dataset, with TPQ and TAQ probabilities
Model specifications | Last HPD intervals/cal AD | End Boundary HPD intervals/cal AD | Agreement indices | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lochindorb Castle Reduced | 68% | 95% | median | after TPQ | before TAQ | 68% | 95% | median | after TPQ | before TAQ | Amodel | Aoverall | Ai |
Exponential prior; no outlier | 1175–1230 | 1165–1265 | 1210 | 3% | 100% | 1175–1270 | 1155–1420 | 1230 | 29% | 81% | 71.3 | 70.8 | 0 |
Exponential prior; modified Charcoal | 1180–1260 | 1160–1355 | 1225 | 22% | 88% | 1185–1295 | 1160–1480 | 1250 | 44% | 68% | 74.4 | 74.2 | 0 |
Exponential prior; default Charcoal | 1180–1260 | 1160–1370 | 1225 | 23% | 87% | 1185–1295 | 1160–1500 | 1250 | 45% | 67% | 74.4 | 74.2 | 0 |
Uniform prior; default Charcoal | 1185–1265 | 1160–1390 | 1230 | 26% | 85% | 1180–1345 | 1160–1690 | 1280 | 61% | 50% | 74.9 | 74.5 | 0 |