Table 5 Accuracy of End Boundary HPD intervals in TS1 (summarised from Table 4)
Specified dataset IAÏ„ | Accuracy of End Boundary HPD intervals | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Exp. prior; no Outlier | Exp. prior; modified Charcoal | Exp. prior; default Charcoal | Uniform prior; no Outlier | Uniform prior; modified Charcoal | Uniform prior; default Charcoal | All models | ||
68% (95%) | 68% (95%) | 68% (95%) | 68% (95%) | 68% (95%) | 68% (95%) | 68% | 95% | |
10Â years | 4/4 (4/4) | 4/4 (4/4) | 4/4 (4/4) | 4/4 (4/4) | 4/4 (4/4) | 3/4 (4/4) | 96% | 100% |
50Â years | 4/4 (4/4) | 4/4 (4/4) | 4/4 (4/4) | 3/4 (4/4) | 3/4 (4/4) | 3/4 (4/4) | 88% | 100% |
100Â years | 4/4 (4/4) | 4/4 (4/4) | 4/4 (4/4) | 3/4 (4/4) | 4/4 (4/4) | 2/4 (4/4) | 88% | 100% |
200Â years | 2/4 (4/4) | 3/4 (4/4) | 3/4 (4/4) | 4/4 (4/4) | 4/4 (4/4) | 4/4 (4/4) | 83% | 100% |
500Â years | 3/4 (4/4) | 3/4 (4/4) | 3/4 (4/4) | 3/4 (4/4) | 1/4 (3/4) | 2/4 (3/4) | 58% | 92% |
All Datasets | 85% (100%) | 90% (100%) | 90% (100%) | 85% (100%) | 80% (95%) | 70% (95%) | 85% | 98% |