Table 7 Precision of End Boundary HPD intervals in TS1 (summarised from Table 4)
Specified dataset IAÏ„ | Average precision of End Boundary HPD intervals/years | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Exp. prior; no Outlier Model | Exp. prior; modified Charcoal | Exp. prior; default Charcoal | Uniform prior; no Outlier | Uniform prior; mod. Charcoal | Uniform prior; def. Charcoal | |
68% (95%) | 68% (95%) | 68% (95%) | 68% (95%) | 68% (95%) | 68% (95%) | |
10Â years | 34 (53) | 34 (53) | 34 (51) | 39 (58) | 38 (63) | 35 (65) |
50Â years | 35 (56) | 38 (63) | 40 (64) | 39 (68) | 43 (78) | 43 (78) |
100Â years | 34 (58) | 39 (71) | 38 (69) | 46 (96) | 46 (94) | 50 (99) |
200Â years | 46 (96) | 58 (120) | 58 (116) | 66 (153) | 86 (154) | 89 (178) |
500Â years | 79 (179) | 96 (216) | 99 (221) | 163 (430) | 238 (515) | 233 (525) |