Specified dataset IAÏ„ and model specification | Last HPD interval average median/cal AD | End Boundary HPD interval average median/cal AD | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10Â years IAÏ„ | 15 dates | 10 dates | 5 dates | 15 dates | 10 dates | 5 dates |
Exponential prior/no outlier model | 1255 | 1253 | 1250 | 1255 | 1257 | 1257 |
Exponential prior/10-year Charcoal Outlier Model | 1258 | 1258 | 1255 | 1260 | 1258 | 1252 |
Uniform prior/default Charcoal Outlier Model | 1262 | 1262 | 1260 | 1265 | 1265 | 1273 |
50Â years IAÏ„ | 15 dates | 10 dates | 5 dates | 15 dates | 10 dates | 5 dates |
Exponential prior/no outlier model | 1262 | 1262 | 1250 | 1265 | 1267 | 1267 |
Exponential prior/50-year Charcoal Outlier Model | 1265 | 1267 | 1260 | 1270 | 1273 | 1275 |
Uniform prior/default Charcoal Outlier Model | 1275 | 1273 | 1267 | 1283 | 1282 | 1290 |
100Â years IAÏ„ | 15 dates | 10 dates | 5 dates | 15 dates | 10 dates | 5 dates |
Exponential prior/no outlier model | 1235 | 1237 | 1236 | 1242 | 1247 | 1255 |
Exponential prior/100-year Charcoal Outlier Model | 1245 | 1248 | 1248 | 1252 | 1265 | 1272 |
Uniform prior/default Charcoal Outlier Model | 1263 | 1265 | 1255 | 1275 | 1280 | 1297 |
200Â years IAÏ„ | 15 dates | 10 dates | 5 dates | 15 dates | 10 dates | 5 dates |
Exponential prior/no outlier model | 1218 | 1215 | 1163 | 1230 | 1232 | 1213 |
Exponential prior/200-year Charcoal Outlier Model | 1232 | 1230 | 1187 | 1243 | 1243 | 1238 |
Uniform prior/default Charcoal Outlier Model | 1270 | 1243 | 1205 | 1283 | 1272 | 1295 |
500Â years IAÏ„ | 15 dates | 10 dates | 5 dates | 15 dates | 10 dates | 5 dates |
Exponential prior/no outlier model | 1225 | 1185 | 1158 | 1247 | 1225 | 1273 |
Exponential prior/500-year Charcoal Outlier Model | 1235 | 1207 | 1182 | 1272 | 1250 | 1317 |
Uniform prior/default Charcoal Outlier Model | 1305 | 1225 | 1198 | 1398 | 1358 | 1450 |