Table 17 Last and End Boundary distributions generated by different Bayesian models from the 5 date Castle Fincharn MERLF radiocarbon dataset, with TPQ and TAQ probabilities
Model specification | Last HPD intervals/cal AD | End Boundary HPD intervals/cal AD | Agreement indices | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
68% | 95% | Median | After TPQ | Before TAQ | 68% | 95% | Median | After TPQ | Before TAQ | Amodel | Aoverall | Ai | |
exponential prior; no outlier | 1245–1280 | 1230–1285 | 1265 | 90% | 100% | 1240–1285 | 1225–1305 | 1270 | 92% | 97% | 81.1 | 82.2 | 0 |
exponential prior; modified Charcoal | 1250–1285 | 1230–1295 | 1270 | 95% | 100% | 1250–1290 | 1230–1315 | 1275 | 96% | 95% | 83.4 | 84.2 | 0 |
exponential prior; default Charcoal | 1250–1290 | 1230–1305 | 1270 | 96% | 97% | 1250–1295 | 1230–1325 | 1275 | 97% | 92% | 83.1 | 83.9 | 0 |
uniform prior; default Charcoal | 1250–1290 | 1230–1305 | 1270 | 95% | 98% | 1245–1295 | 1230–1335 | 1275 | 96% | 89% | 83.1 | 83.9 | 0 |