Table 19 Last and End Boundary distributions generated by different Bayesian models from the 5 date Aros Castle NW block MERLF radiocarbon dataset, with TPQ and TAQ probabilities
Model specification | Last HPD intervals/cal AD | End Boundary HPD intervals/cal AD | Agreement indices | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
68% | 95% | Median | After TPQ | before TAQ | 68% | 95% | Median | After TPQ | Before TAQ | Amodel | Aoverall | Ai | |
exponential prior; no outlier | 1295–1380 | 1290–1395 | 1320 | 100% | 93% | 1300–1385 | 1285–1460 | 1340 | 100% | 76% | 77.7 | 78 | 0 |
exponential prior; modified Charcoal | 1300–1380 | 1290–1410 | 1335 | 100% | 86% | 1305–1390 | 1290–1470 | 1350 | 100% | 71% | 79.6 | 79.8 | 0 |
exponential prior; default Charcoal | 1300–1390 | 1285–1450 | 1340 | 100% | 79% | 1305–1400 | 1285–1505 | 1360 | 100% | 64% | 79.7 | 79.8 | 0 |
uniform prior; default Charcoal | 1305–1390 | 1290–1445 | 1350 | 100% | 76% | 1310–1425 | 1290–1595 | 1380 | 100% | 52% | 81.3 | 81.3 | 0 |