Table 25 Last and End Boundary distributions generated by different Bayesian models from the 3 date Achanduin Castle MERLF radiocarbon dataset, with TPQ and TAQ probabilities
Model specification | Last HPD intervals/cal AD | End Boundary HPD Intervals/cal AD | Agreement indices | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
68% | 95% | Median | After TPQ | Before TAQ | 68% | 95% | Median | After TPQ | Before TAQ | Amodel | Aoverall | Ai | ||
Exponential prior; no outlier | 1275–1305 | 1270–1385 | 1295 | 55% | 81% | 1275–1385 | 1265–1535 | 1310 | 81% | 48% | 82.8 | 82.2 | 0 | |
Exponential prior; modified Charcoal | 1280–1320 | 1270–1405 | 1300 | 78% | 63% | 1280–1395 | 1270–1550 | 1325 | 91% | 35% | 84 | 83.6 | 0 | |
Exponential prior; default Charcoal | 1275–1385 | 1270–1460 | 1305 | 81% | 54% | 1280–1410 | 1270–1610 | 1335 | 92% | 30% | 83.1 | 82.7 | 0 | |
uniform prior; default Charcoal | 1280–1390 | 1270–1480 | 1310 | 83% | 50% | 1280–1450 | 1275–1820 | 1375 | 95% | 19% | 81.7 | 81.5 | 0 | |