Specified dataset IAÏ„ | Study code | Exponential prior; no outlier | Exp. prior; modified Charcoal | Uniform prior; default Charcoal | All model and dataset specifications | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
68% (95%) | 68% (95%) | 68% (95%) | 68% | 95% | ||
10Â years | TS1 | 4/4 (4/4) | 4/4 (4/4) | 3/4 (4/4) | 38/39 | 39/39 |
TS2 | 9/9 (9/9) | 9/9 (9/9) | 9/9 (9/9) | |||
50Â years | TS1 | 4/4 (4/4) | 4/4 (4/4) | 3/4 (4/4) | 30/39 | 39/39 |
TS2 | 7/9 (9/9) | 7/9 (9/9) | 5/9 (9/9) | |||
100Â years | TS1 | 4/4 (4/4) | 4/4 (4/4) | 2/4 (4/4) | 31/39 | 38/39 |
TS2 | 8/9 (8/9) | 7/9 (9/9) | 6/9 (9/9) | |||
200Â years | TS1 | 2/4 (4/4) | 3/4 (4/4) | 4/4 (4/4) | 30/39 | 38/39 |
TS2 | 6/9 (8/9) | 7/9 (9/9) | 8/9 (9/9) | |||
500Â years | TS1 | 3/4 (4/4) | 3/4 (4/4) | 2/4 (3/4) | 34/39 | 38/39 |
TS2 | 8/9 (9/9) | 9/9 (9/9) | 9/9 (9/9) | |||
All datasets at 68% | 85% 55/65 | 88% 57/65 | 78% 51/65 | 84% 163/195 | Â | |
All datasets at 95% | 97% (63/65) | 100% (65/65) | 98% (64/65) | Â | 98% 192/195 | |
 ≤ 200-yrs IAτ datasets at 68% | 85% 44/52 | 87% 45/52 | 77% 40/52 | 83% 129/156 |  | |
 ≤ 200-yrs IAτ datasets at 95% | 96% (50/52) | 100% (52/52) | 100% (52/52) |  | 99% 154/156 |