Assessing different measures of fire risk for Cultural World Heritage Sites

Heritage Science

Table 4 Fractional Probit estimations of perceptions of wildfire risks to Cultural World Heritage Site.

Explanatory variables	Specification (i)		Specification (ii)
Explanatory variables	dy/dx	z-stat	dy/dx	z-stat
Area in hectares	0.000**	− 2.04	0.000	− 1.25
Year inscribed	− 0.001	− 0.25	0.001	0.36
Wood in buildings or on the site	0.023	0.37	0.067	1.03
Danger list	0.016	0.09	0.028	0.17
Inscription criteria
C1 masterpiece of human creative genius	0.039	0.63	0.040	0.66
C2 architecture or technology, monumental arts, town-planning, or landscape design	− 0.005	− 0.10	0.004	0.10
C3 cultural tradition or to a civilization	− 0.002	− 0.05	− 0.010	− 0.35
C4 building, architectural or technological ensemble or landscape	− 0.003	− 0.07	− 0.021	− 0.43
C5 traditional human settlement, land-use, or sea-use	0.073	1.03	0.092	1.29
C6 events or living traditions, ideas, beliefs, artistic and literary works	0.025	0.58	0.024	0.63
Kind of site
Cultural landscape (reference category: Other)	0.031	0.73	0.013	0.30
City	0.025	0.60	0.042	1.07
Religious site	− 0.024	− 0.65	− 0.020	− 0.55
Transboundary	− 0.131	− 1.16	− 0.133	− 1.27
Country group/location
North Europe (reference category Western Europe)	− 0.266***	− 3.09
South Europe (incl. South France)	0.240***	3.65
Eastern Europe	− 0.037	− 0.39
Latitude			− 0.031***	− 9.61
Number of observations	346		346
McFadden’s Pseudo R²	0.126		0.135

Asterisks ***, ** and * denote significance at the 1, 5, and 10% levels. dy/dx denotes the marginal effects. The underlying dependent variable is the proportion of high fire risk category. Non-European sites are not included. Estimated with STATA using the fracreg probit estimation command